I got the welcome mat out for a storm that now seems headed our way !

Did we will the Monday storm northward ? I don't know, but if we did we should bottle that strategy and store it for future events. The Monday snow is back as models continue to violently waffle this way and that way on about everything. It has been a forecasting headache for many of the NWS forecasting offices who have scrambled rather admirably to keep up with the ever-evolving picture. Washington DC for example seemed like ground zero for 6-12 inches with temperatures in the 20's while much of New England remained dry. This scenario would have the low pressure center tracking along the Virginia/North Carolina border Monday. Now however, the storm is expected to track across southern Pennsylvania to the New Jersey coastline and proceed to do roughly a 50 mile hug with the southern New England coastline. This track is not the most optimal one for us at MRG, but good enough and far better than the former. Washington DC, by the way will wake up to rain and temperatures in the 40's Monday, quite a shift in the forecast over a 36 hour period.

If we can get another 50-100 miles north on this storm track perhaps we can get our foot of snow. For now however I think it's yet another storm in the productive 5-10" category. This will be a cold storm as well with a fresh supply of arctic air reestablishing itself just as the snow begins to fall around day break Monday. Snow should continue to fall at a light to moderate clip for much of the day with temperatures falling to near zero and later below zero as snow tapers off during the evening. After a very chilly and mostly sub-zero Tuesday, a midweek clipper could spread some additional snows into the region later Wednesday into Thursday. Not a bad way to start what I expect will be a terrific month of skiing at MRG.