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Monday, March 7, 2016

A mild and somewhat rainy upcoming two weeks still expected

Nothing new or exciting to report as of March 7th. Pattern is still poised to turn very warm and stay that way for a better part of the next two weeks. Readings might get close to the 60-degree mark across valley locations Wednesday with 50's across the high country.  A front will drop south out of southern Canada late Wednesday and early Thursday bringing the chance for some light rain and temperatures that are less mild. Later on Thursday, a more organized wave of low pressure will move along that same boundary of temperatures and spread significant amounts of rain into northern New England later Thursday and Thursday night. It's ironic because this particular storm will take a relatively favorable track for snow but the pattern will have gotten so warm by late this week and available arctic air is so limited that the results, predictably, will be another swing and a miss. There is a chance that rain changes over to a period of snow across the high country early Friday leading to a wet accumulation, but that is after about an inch of rain.

The pattern does appear to want to return to normalcy around the time of March 20th. This is very late in the game however and lots of damage will have been done both from rain and from warm weather. 

5 comments:

Jon Miller said...

Josh, great work this year and every year on the blog. Was a tough one to keep the morale high this season. Since you are meticulous about records and trends, was curious if in a future post or season wrap-up you'll write about two distinct differences from this year vs last. 1. the temp trend. comparing to last year when we had a 40+ day stretch of sub freezing temps in the mountains. what could it have been this year, 7-10 days max? 2. how many of the predicted long-range storms that originally started out as snow events arrived as rain? i can only remember a few times this year where snow was predicted and snow actually happened - but more than a half-dozen major rainstorms that originally started out as snow in the models.

Anyway, just some fodder for your future work.

Daryl Cronin said...

Or how about that time it hit 30 below zero on a Sunday and rained two days later. Ah what a year to remember!

Michael Kirk said...

Thanks for your work Josh. I am not a skier but a farmer and I very much appreciate your work and expertise. I check your blog daily as weather clearly affects my livelihood. I've learned quite a bit from you. Thanks again. -mike

Unknown said...

Stick a fork in it : /

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