Got to wait for the turn of the month but our prospects for new snow are looking good, substantially good actually

I saw one person on twitter refer to snow conditions in Vermont as a frozen hellscape. Perhaps, but it does beat out the snow conditions two years ago around this time which consisted of rocks and dirt. Can't promise any improvement for the balance of the month but that amounts to about 2 days. Beginning this Thursday, the first of February, we should start seeing big improvements and several chances for new snowfall.

The jet stream is, as expected, undergoing an amplification but this will yield little if any snow throughout most of northern New England. There will be an area of snow well to the south and west of Vermont on Tuesday but it looks like fools gold as far as we're concerned. This area of snow simply won't successfully move east before dissipating and much of the Vermont high country will see temperatures hover around the 20-degree mark along with some occasional sunshine. Wednesday will feature more sunshine in the morning but more clouds in the afternoon as the pattern gears up to bring the region more arctic air and more snowfall to the region just in time for the turn of the month.

February 1st, the day which looked potentially catastrophic about a week ago, has come full circle from a weather forecasting standpoint. The push of milder weather looks severely weakened. A clipper system well to the north will move through the eastern provinces of Canada and gain minimal amounts of moisture from the Great Lakes with a cheap addition of subtropical moisture. It doesn't sound promising but snowfall prospects have looked better and better over the last 48 hours. I am not promising an epic storm, but even a few inches should help improve the "frozen hellscape". Snow should arrive right around the time February arrives (midnight Thursday) and continue into the day Thursday in sporadic fashion as arctic cold begins spilling into the region. Now the subtropical moisture still has the potential to allow this storm to ultimately become a more significant anafrontal wave with more significant snowfall east of Vermont. If this were to happen, it would be a Thursday night to early Friday occurrence and though Vermont is not positioned to the best to receive a high dose of snow, we certainly could at least get a small dose. In the end, the two days (this Thursday and Friday) that once appeared so mild, now look somewhat snowy with at least 3 inches falling in the high country and probably a bit more than that before Friday evening.

First of what will be a few rounds of arctic chill will encompass the region by Friday and should help dry things out but only for a short time. Some left over energy from some active weather in the Pacific Northwest will advance eastward quickly and both re enforce the arctic cold and provide another chance for new snowfall. Can't call this system a "BC bomber" since it doesn't look like much of a "bomber". Perhaps a "BC badger", but not a BC honey badger since we now know thanks to youtube, how vicious those suckers can be. This system looks somewhat innocent yet still capable of producing several more inches late Saturday into early Sunday. Temperatures will be chilly this weekend, consisting of mostly teens and single numbers on the mountain.

The upcoming pattern, discussed a few times is capable of producing a few weeks of solid winter weather for us. We have a potential inland runner late next week but this system has an even better chance of being a big snow producer. An early look at the week leading up to the President's Day holiday looks pretty cold, anchored well by the negative EPO and a ridge extending up through Alaska into the Arctic.