Friday, March 2, 2012

Some snow early Saturday Morning, big thaw looking more likely next week

The next weather system, with its big warm push of air will eventually bring some ice and then some rain on Saturday. The cold air however will be able to hold its ground just long enough for what could be a brief but significant burst of snow in the early morning hours Saturday. Significant enough for a few inches before the lifts start churning and since temperatures will remain close to the freezing mark Saturday morning, a few good turns could still be had. By the afternoon we should see temperatures soar in to the 40's and this will be accompanied by some rain.

Beyond Saturday the outlook has not changed too much. Much colder weather along with some snow showers will move back into Vermont Sunday and Monday. The snow showers could dust the mountain with a light accumulation but I would not expect much. After a dry and seasonable day Tuesday, the big thaw is looking more likely. So long as the base holds up, the spring skiing could be quite good. Fundamentally however, the pattern could not be much worse with the three major teleconnection indices aligning in a very unfavorable way. Even when the mild weather abates toward next weekend, a second round of very warm weather will be poised to make another big dent into the winter.

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