The snow was flying once again early Monday across the northern Vermont high country accompanied by strong northwest winds and it won't be the last time we see these types of weather conditions this week. That said, the strong dose of spring last week was a bit too much for the snowpack on the mountain to endure and lift operations at MRG have come to a close for 2021. Though the outlook has trended a little colder for early April, with interior New England perhaps one of the few regions of the country that could experience winter weather over the next week, there isn't evidence of a "bring us back from the dead" type of storm in the outlook. If you miss real winter weather however, you will get at least one good last shot late Thursday into Friday and it won't just be wet gloppy, spring snow.
In the near term, we will see a classic March roller coaster ride. The wind and cold is here Monday and gone by midday Tuesday, displaced by calmer winds, sunshine and temperatures near 60. Another warm day is set to follow for Wednesday though we can expect clouds to be on the increase and rain to arrive late in the day along with brisk southerly winds. The surge of cold late this week though is impressive and early April is known for such a wide variety of weather conditions almost anywhere in the northeast. The mild Wednesday temperatures will linger into Wednesday night and even into very early Thursday as another 0.25-0.50 of rain falls across northern Vermont. Colder air then arrives quite dramatically with temperatures nosediving into the 20's during the day Thursday and even into the teens across the high country by late in the day. Along with those falling temperatures, we will see gusty northwest winds and snowfall. Once again we have a late-blooming coastal system that is responsible for a good part of our expected weather conditions late Thursday. If we can get this system energized and more organized a bit sooner, we might see more impressive amounts of snow but for now it looks like a 4-8 inch situation above 2000 feet by Friday morning with lesser amounts in the valley. I might point out however that the snow consistency will be powdery and should stay that way through most of a sub-freezing and windy day Friday, a day when snow showers could actually continue through most of the ski day.
The outlook going forward has shifted to the colder side for the early part of April. Mild air is still expected to dominate much of North America but those warmer temperatures are shown to impact northern New England less, and portions of the mid-continent more. In spite of that, sustaining sub-freezing temperatures is very difficult this time of the year and after a very winter-like day Friday, readings should again reach 40 degrees on both weekend days. Disagreement has then emerged with the European showing a sizable and stagnated weather system over the Canadian martimes keeping the weather both cool and somewhat unsettled throughout New England while the American is showing a more progressive and milder outlook beginning late this weekend and extending through much of next week. Using the Canadian ensembles as the tiebreaker here, one would have to favor the cooler and slightly more unsettled outlook in the April 4-9 time frame but in either case, there is no major precipitation producer indicated through April 9 aside from the rain/snow indicated for late Wednesday into Thursday of this week.
With Mad River closing lift operations, I have about enough energy for 1-2 more updates before we conclude with an end of season summary. Covid restrictions certainly hurt my ski day count this year but our 1 month old daughter had plenty of demands also and kept me pretty busy. Hope everyone enjoyed the season and I will extend my thanks to all the operational staff for making a season possible.
27 comments:
Congrats and welcome to your new daughter.
Thanks for all you do for the MRG community
Brendan
Thank you. Appreciate and love your blog.
Thank you again.
Congrats on the birth of your daughter! Thanks for your updates all season long; I check your Twitter and blog just above everyday! Super informative and fun.
Congratulations and thank you for all your hard work with this blog!
Joshua,
Thanks so much for all you do!!! And now you're a dad!!! Congrats to you and family!! Enjoy everyday!! Family is so precious!!............j
Thanks again for your awesome forecasts! My husband and I look forward to reading them. Congratulations on the birth of your daughter.
Thanks a lot for the updates and keep the energy going for some extra updates because in the north we still have plenty of snow and more to come...hopefully till may! Anyhow, have a great summer with your daughter and hope we will have a better ski season next year. I mean when the last time Mad river Glen closes in March?? That's ridiculous!
peace and love to you and your family!
pog
Thanks for your insight on the weather Josh. Enjoy the baby!!!
Thanks Josh and Congrats. Enjoy your summer hibernation!
Thanks for an Ok season but will miss checking out your site. Congrats on the birth of your daughter.
Ty for a great blog and another season of informative updates.
Josh, thanks again for a wonderful and insightful season of forecasting. All your hard work and perspective is very appreciated. Hope you enjoy your “off season”!
Thanks Josh, and congrats... We have appreciated your forecasts for years
Thank you, thank you, for your great reports. I always look forward to your updates,regardless of the news. Long time fan!
Year after year of the most consistently spot-on forecasts delivered with insightfulness, intelligence, and definitely some wizardry . Thank you thank you!
Year after year of the most consistently spot-on forecasts delivered with insightfulness, intelligence, and definitely some wizardry . Thank you thank you!
Josh, you are my "go to" source for weather and conditions. Can't thank you enough for your effort and expertise. Also, huge congratulations on the little one!!!
Thanks for informing, educating, and entertaining me! I didn't actually even ski at MRG this winter but I read all season long. Hope to change the skiing part next year...
Congratulations on the birth of your daughter!! She’ll be racing down the mountain ahead of you before you know it, so be sure to stay in the moment and enjoy all the snuggles and silliness while she’s little. I’ve been an avid reader of your blog since I discovered it a few years back, you do a great job explaining weather patterns and what we can expect on the mountain!
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