Mild 3-day period Thursday to Saturday before stars align for an outstanding 2nd half of February

Hope everyone enjoyed their bluebird Sunday whatever you all decided to do. We've got a few more of these days lined up this upcoming week. Monday features very little cloud cover though it will be chilly thanks to a stiff northerly winds that appears likely to gust well past 20 mph on the mountain. The wind will bring wind chill temperatures below zero at times on Monday though actual temperatures should rise into the 20's. Temperatures are expected to moderate Tuesday and into Wednesday with winds gradually lessening. Higher resolution models bring some low clouds into valley areas on Tuesday and more so on Wednesday but the midday and afternoon periods feature sunshine. 

A milder period of weather remains in the cards beginning late this week and lasting through the weekend of February 10th and 11th. There's some good news in that the Thursday mild weather appears to be powered more by sun and certainly not by wind or rain. Temperatures on Thursday will warm up past 40 though the bright blue sky will have the effect of making it feel warmer. Friday and Saturday appear cloudier and the best we can probably do in this above-freezing 35-45 degree period is to limit both the wind and the rain which as of now appears to be the most likely outcome. Snowpack in the MRV is often most damaged by strong southwesterly winds and it appears we can keep those away from surface areas even as some light rain is falling later Saturday. Colder weather and snow showers is expected to return for Sunday and this begins a much more productive stretch of weather for northern Vermont ski country I believe ! 

Even as the clouds and mild temperatures win the early part of the upcoming next weekend, key teleconection indices will continue to align themselves for a very favorable 2nd half of February. The two specific items we can point our binoculars  at right now would be the next chance for some snowfall from a potential storm on February 12th or 13th (A Monday and Tuesday) and then an eventual return of some below normal temperatures by the Friday February 16th into the weekend of the 17th and 18th. Everything else appears too blurry in a specific sense, but in a general sense it appears to be an outstanding period of storminess loaded with potential. There's been talk on social media circles of extreme cold and though I think that's possible over a short span of time, the pattern, in this decaying but still strong El Nino environment appears better from the standpoint of snowfall. I expect we should have plenty to discuss relating to snow and the potential for more snow beginning with aforementioned system projected to arrive February 12th and lasting through most of the rest of the month.