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Monday, January 26, 2015

5-10 windblown inches form massive New England nor'easter

A couple more cycles of data have been released and some slight modifications to the forecast are required. The storm track has shifted east ever so slightly. Ideally we would want a low pressure center to track west of Cape Cod (at least the eastern tip of Cape Cod) and even more ideally right over Boston. As this storm bombs south of the Cape it will make every effort to reach that eastern tip but the latest models have it falling just short. Still, I expect we will see a good band of snow rotate back into the region from the south and east during the early part of the day Tuesday. Snow should begin at or just before dawn and some moderate snow is probable for a while during the morning beginning right around first tracks time. The heaviest snow will be well off to our south and east. The Monadnock region of New Hampshire should do extremely well and much of eastern Massachusettes and Rhode Island will perform even better (perhaps 25-35 inches in spots). Here at MRG, I am expecting a wind blown 5-10" and I mean it when I say wind blown. Winds will become very feisty during the day, mainly out of the north and will cause lots of blowing and drifting both on and off the hill. Snow will taper to flurries during the overnight hours and will give way to a blustery and chilly Wednesday. Temperatures will hover around 10 through much of the storm and wind chills will be well below zero.

Nice looking BC Bomber type system is showing up for late in the week. Not huge amounts of moisture but enough for a decent period of snow Thursday night into early Friday and another several inches is certainly possible. Still expecting an invasion of bitterly cold temperatures for early February (Feb 1 or 2). Interestingly, there is some uncertainly regarding the way in which the cold invades. Does a more organized weather system mark the leading edge of this cold or is just a benign clipper system. The Euro is not suggesting any activity out of the southern branch or subtropical portion of the jet yet other models are leaving the door open for such activity. Not a bad pattern though, no thaws on the horizon, lots of cold weather and hopefully the snow continues to pile up.

3 comments:

Gauss said...

Any chance that some last minute body English could move the bowling ball back to the middle of the lane? I mean, it's going to be Roll Back the Clock Day! Besides, what does Boston need all that snow for anyway?

Jared Miller said...

Poverty storm Juno.

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