Hope everyone is enjoying the snow and staying at least somewhat protected from the wind. Though the wind speed will certainly peak Monday, expect it to be a factor throughout the week. Late February sunshine will certainly help and we appear to have more of that, especially in the Wednesday through Friday stretch. Clouds and flurries are expected to accompany another day of strong winds and bitterly cold temperatures on Tuesday. Readings aren't expected to stray too far from zero on the mountain and wind gusts over 30 on the upper mountain will make it feel like 30 below. Needless to say, prepare accordingly. We continue to expect a storm to gather strength across the southeast on Wednesday, but its attempt to become a major Miller-A nor'easter and move up the coast is likely to get thwarted as the pattern is expected to de-amplify a bit earlier than expected. The effect of having a strengthening storm to our south will help decrease the cloud cover late in the week as I mentioned and certainly make the forecast drier. It's just the wind, which will continue to blow along with temperatures that rise to 10 on Wednesday, 15 or so Thursday and 20 degrees Friday. Morning readings are likely to get below zero slightly, though the continued presence of the wind will keep overnight readings higher than they might be otherwise.
Cloudiness is expectred to return for the upcoming weekend and the trend of moving daytime temperatures up about 5 degrees each day will continue. Light snow is possible for Sunday thanks to an approaching clipper system and most importantly, we should finally see winds diminish somewhat though not entirely.
Winter is expected to get held in place across interior New England by the presence of the +PNA or ridge in western North America. This is a precarious hold however as all other forms of support appear to be, at least temporarily, vanishing. This will allow the polar jet to soften and retreat somewhat and temperatures across a widespread area of eastern North America will moderate substantially. Across Vermont, the door appears very open for more snowfall. The midday model update didn't provide for much agreement on the specifics for next week but storms were shown on each model at varying times so form of material snowfall appears more likely than not. Also, don't be fooled by the polar retreat next week, ensembles are beginning to align themselves toward a colder start to March, supported mainly by another building ridge near the Alaska/Yukon border. Alaska has had a very warm winter which has fueled the persistent nature of the cold weather this year and we now have support of feedback mechanisms that will provide continuous support for this going into March. When it rains it pours and when its cold it's likely to stay cold is actually a real thing. Weather can streak for a reason as chaotic as it can seem.
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