Very warm pattern still headed our way after some snowfall late Tuesday

Sunshine is allowing temperatures to eclipse expectations for Saturday. The southwesterly flow almost always brings in the mild air and the blue skies just make that daytime mixing process more efficient. It does not change expectations for the incoming arctic air however which arrives Saturday evening and will make Sunday a blustery and cold start to March. Readings will hover in the low teens with clouds and a period of light snowfall in the morning. We had moment when yesterday when I thought this snowfall could produce a few inches, but models are back in the dusting to an inch camp before skies clear late Sunday setting up for a subzero night. 

Monday's temps are much warmer though its a fantastic bluebird day. One of those will you will have a hard time finding any cloud and with low wind, a 15 degree temperatures doesn't feel that bad after a 5 below start.  The clear skies are indicated to persist for early Tuesday and this allows for another cold near zero morning before readings quickly recover toward the freezing mark with increasing clouds. Those clouds will bring our overrunning snowfall that I was hoping for. It begins Tuesday evening and it generally looked like a 3-6 inch snow falling over the course of about 6 hours or so. The European model has a little more punch to this system though as of early Saturday and would suggest we could squeeze more than 5 out of this storm prior to Wednesday's ski day. It does not look a particularly cold storm and we aren't far from the wintry mix. That said we should retain enough residual cold to keep readings just under 30 while the snow is falling on the mountain. The snow could be on the wetter side in the valley. 

The weather pattern still suggests the massive onslaught of warmer weather begins Wednesday. Models are are little slower translating this warmth to surface warmth at least this week.  Wednesday is still a mild day with readings rising into the 40's following the snowfall and Friday could see the thermometer advance toward 50 before some residual low level chill from Canada arrives later in the day. Rain or even some areas of freezing rain are then possible Friday ahead of what will be a very mild first full weekend of March.  Most of the wet weather appears lined up for Friday though it still looks a little showery over the weekend. We will have to get some more clarity on that since spring skiing is obviously more enjoyable without the rain. High temperatures both weekend days appear as if they could make a run at 50. 

The early part of the next week appears even warmer right now with one or perhaps two 60 degree days in there. Individual operational models suggest some chill returning late in the week, but ensembles maintain a definitive warm signal through the forecast period for now after the arctic blast expected for Sunday and Monday.