Tuesday, February 16, 2010

Storm gives us the ole right hook but we are not done and neither is our prediction

Tempers seem to be running a little high based on some emails I have gotten but the call of 1-2 feet was a fairly loose prognostication meant to span a few days and given such a time we may live up to some of these original expectations. Watching Connecticut, Massachusetts and southern Vermont outperform MRG is frustrating but as this storm continues to push northward and stall, it will provide some us with some long awaited dividend payments before making a final farewell. As I pointed out, the atmosphere will remain relatively moist through much of the lower troposphere and there are two upper level impulses, one which should pass early Wednesday and another Thursday night which will provide the boost necessary for some snow across the high country. I know the forecasts appear pessimistic but this situation is elevation sensitive and the next few days will feature limited amounts of accumulating snow in the valley locations. The mountains, particularly across the northern half of the state should perform modestly and over a foot of new powder by early Friday is still a completely reasonable expectation (so long as we are talking about areas above 1500 feet).

6 comments:

Jim said...

No anger here, just shrugging shoulders. Josh, El Nino is a strumpet and you should keep making your prognostications as often as possible, even if they don't pan out. I'll be there Friday morning with my snow dancin' shoes on!

Eric said...

Josh,
You have a tough deal trying to be positive when the snow keeps hammering points south, and we just havent had much cooperation from Mother Nature. We are getting pounded in March...focus, focus. Atleast we all didnt buy a ticket to BC to ski on dirt.

Thanks for your forecasts man
Eric

Daniel said...

Not sure which part of MA you're referring to, Joshua!

Here in Worcester area, we've been starving for snow all winter. Biggest single storm probably wasn't more than 8", and this last storm gave us only 4" or so. My real issue is with the Mid-Atlantic states where they're getting all the love. GRR...

That and poor Magic got slammed back to 10 trails open after the thaw a few weeks ago and couldn't get any fresh for a LONG time!

-Daniel

Unknown said...

Lots of anger here! The lack of snow has zapped my mojo but the tease is killing me! Joshua, I've been a long-time follower and believer, but wha the!?!?!

Michael Carr - Veritas Literary said...

Still nothing.

John B. Johnson said...

Dude -- you deserve only praise for volunteering to provide your best insight into the extraordinarily complex multi-variable problem called weather. You do a great job and shame on anyone who takes issue with your exemplary effort.